Golub Capital

Middle Market Report

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Golub Capital Middle Market Report

Featuring the Golub Capital Altman Index

Q1 2017


 

Revenue in the U.S. Middle Market Grows at 8.45% in Q1 2017, According to Golub Capital Middle Market Report

 

Overall earnings show decline of 1.64% during the first two months of the quarter

Index provides early insight into financial performance of public companies and GDP in advance of earnings season

Golub Capital Altman Index Highlights

Year-Over-Year Growth Revenues Earnings
Q1 2017 8.45% (1.64%)
Q4 2016 5.33% (2.48%)
Key Sectors Q1 2017 Revenues Earnings
Consumer 6.63% (8.45%)
Healthcare 10.03% (2.44%)
Industrials 1.49% 0.16%
Information Technology 13.04% 11.06%

Lawrence E. Golub, CEO of Golub Capital, said:

The Golub Capital Altman Index numbers indicate that the economy continues to grow nicely in the first quarter of 2017, consistent with 2-3% GDP growth. We don’t see the same acceleration as what seems to be happening in the European Union, but that is to be expected because U.S. economic growth has been stronger for some time. The EU is simply recovering later.

Reports Archive

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April 13, 2023
Q1 2023: U.S. Middle Market Growth Continues to Exceed Expectations
Golub Capital Middle Market Report Featuring the Golub Capital Altman Index Q1 2023   U.S. Middle Market Growth Continues to Exceed Expectations   Middle market private companies in the Golub Capital Altman Index experienced year-over-year earnings growth of 11% and revenue growth of 11% during the first two months of the first quarter of 2023. […]
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January 12, 2023
Q4 2022: U.S. Middle Market Growth Shows a Positive Surprise
Golub Capital Middle Market Report Featuring the Golub Capital Altman Index Q4 2022   U.S. Middle Market Growth Shows a Positive Surprise   Index revenue grew 11% year-over-year during the same period. The Golub Capital Altman Index can provide early insight into financial performance of public companies and GDP in advance of earnings season. Golub […]
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October 10, 2022
Q3 2022: U.S. Middle Market Revenue Grew 12% in the First Two Months of Q3 2022
Golub Capital Middle Market Report Featuring the Golub Capital Altman Index Q3 2022   U.S. Middle Market Revenue Grew 12% in the First Two Months of Q3 2022   Index earnings fell slightly year-over-year as inflation continued to put pressure on profit margins. The Golub Capital Altman Index can provide early insight into financial performance […]
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July 13, 2022
Q2 2022: Revenue in the U.S. Middle Market Grew By 12% in the First Two Months of Q2 2022
Golub Capital Middle Market Report Featuring the Golub Capital Altman Index Q2 2022   Revenue in the U.S. Middle Market Grew By 12% in the First Two Months of Q2 2022   Index earnings grew by 2% year-over-year during the same period. The Golub Capital Altman Index can provide early insight into financial performance of […]
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About the Golub Capital Altman Index

The Golub Capital Altman Index measures the actual revenue and EBITDA (earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization) growth of US middle market private companies for the first two months of each calendar quarter and provides insight into anticipated quarterly performance of US public companies. The data referenced herein may not reflect all companies in the loan portfolio of Golub Capital during the time periods indicated.
 
Reported shortly before public company earnings season, the performance of the Golub Capital Altman Index has been highly correlated with the median growth rates in revenue and EBITDA of the companies in the S&P 500, S&P SmallCap 600, and Russell 2000 indexes, as well as quarterly Gross Domestic Product (GDP), since data began to be tracked in 2012.
 
About Dr. Edward I. Altman
A leading expert on credit markets, Dr. Edward I. Altman is the Max L. Heine Professor of Finance, Emeritus at the NYU Stern School of Business, and Director of Research in Credit and Debt Markets at the NYU Salomon Center for the Study of Financial Institutions. He is currently an advisor to several foreign central banks.
 
Professor Altman has published or edited two-dozen books and over 150 articles in scholarly finance, accounting and economic journals. He has been inducted into the Fixed Income Analysts Society Hall of Fame, served as President of the Financial Management Association, was an FMA Fellow, and was amongst the inaugural inductees into the Turnaround Management Association Hall of Fame. He received his MBA and Ph.D. in Finance from the University of California, Los Angeles.
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Important Disclosure

The Golub Capital Altman Index is provided as an indicator only and does not constitute investment advice or the offer to sell or a solicitation to buy any security. Some of these statements constitute forward-looking statements, which may be predictions about future events, future performance, or future financial conditions. Some of these statements reflect opinions based upon the data presented in the Index, and these opinions may be incorrect. Actual results could vary materially from those implied or expressed in such forward-looking statements for any reason. The Golub Capital Altman Index has been created on the basis of information provided by third-party sources that are believed to be reliable, but the information has not been verified independently by Golub Capital. Golub Capital makes no warranty or representation as to the accuracy or completeness of such third-party information.

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  1. The Golub Capital Altman Index (GCAI) data for Q2 2021 are presented solely for the purpose of continuity. Readers are encouraged to interpret the data from those periods with caution. The GCAI is designed to offer early insight into the performance of the U.S. economy, based on data from the first two months of each calendar quarter. GCAI results for Q2 2021 were based on data from April and May 2021 compared to April and May 2020, when many businesses were affected by lockdowns and other restrictions.
  2. Effective Q2 2022, the Golub Capital Altman Index (GCAI) excludes Golub Capital portfolio companies that have recurring revenue-based credit facilities. The data referenced herein may not reflect all companies in the loan portfolio of Golub Capital during the time periods indicated.